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<channel>
	<title>Institute for Private Enterprise &#187; Terrorism</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.ipe.net.au/category/terrorism/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.ipe.net.au</link>
	<description>Promoting the cause of genuine free enterprise</description>
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		<title>Uncertainty in Labor&#8217;s Policies; Islamic Threat</title>
		<link>http://www.ipe.net.au/2019/04/uncertainty-in-labors-policies-islamic-threat/</link>
		<comments>http://www.ipe.net.au/2019/04/uncertainty-in-labors-policies-islamic-threat/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 25 Apr 2019 09:48:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Des Moore]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Australian Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate Change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Election Cycle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Immigration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Religion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Terrorism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adani]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andrew Bolt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bil Muelenberg]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bill Shorten]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CFMEU]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Christchurch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Des Moore]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GetUp]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Greg Brown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Heide Han]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joe Kelly]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Judith Sloan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Labor Party]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Durie]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Roddan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Muslim]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Penny Wong]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Primrose Riordan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scott Morrison]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sri Lanka]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Australian]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tony Abbott]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zali Steggall]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ipe.net.au/?p=2939</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Today’s Australian has published considerable material on the failure of Labor to clearly enunciate its policies. I have previously drawn particular attention to Labor’s failure to publish aggregates alternative to those in the Coalition’s budget and to costings for the economy of its global warming policy. This defect remains.

But the recent emergence of many questions about Labor’s policies on specific policy issues has opened the way for much wider challenges to be made. The opening up of this area should also allow Morrison to reduce his announcements of funding small projects, which appear too much as vote buying, and focus more on attacking Shorten. It has also led The Australian to inter alia run the main letters column today with the heading Uncertainty Surrounds Labor’s Announced Policies. I was fortunate in having my epistle included as “lead letter”]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>What Are Labor’s Policies?</strong></p>
<p>Today’s Australian has published considerable material on the failure of Labor to clearly enunciate its policies. I have previously drawn particular attention to Labor’s failure to publish aggregates alternative to those in the Coalition’s budget and to costings for the economy of its global warming policy. This defect remains.</p>
<p>But the recent emergence of many questions about Labor’s policies on <em>specific</em> policy issues has opened the way for much wider challenges to be made. The opening up of this area should also allow Morrison to reduce his announcements of funding small projects, which appear too much as vote buying, and focus more on attacking Shorten. It has also led The Australian to inter alia run the main letters column today with the heading <strong>Uncertainty Surrounds Labor’s Announced Policies.</strong> I was fortunate in having my epistle included as “lead letter” – as set out below.</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>Uncertainty Surrounds Labor’s Announced Policies</strong></p>
<p>Letter Published in The Australian, April 25, 2019 (Bits in square brackets omitted by Ed).</p>
<p>Those closely following the election had been expecting that after Easter Labor would publish proposed budget aggregates and their costings – just as the Coalition did in its budget. No such luck. What  we are getting are reports that material distributed by some Labor candidates omit to mention Shorten is their leader.</p>
<p>This may reflect the failure of Labor to decide [internally] on detailing the reasons for some of its decisions. Take the decision to require half of new vehicles to be electric by 2030.</p>
<p>It now appears that the recording of high electric sales in Norway [(much tinier than Australia)] may be due [importantly] to a near 100 per cent sales tax there on non-electric cars. Would Labor provide that “incentive” here?</p>
<p>Then there is the proposed Adani coal mine, for which the Coalition has given approval to all legal federal requirements.</p>
<p>But despite having said that he is being “governed by the law”, Shorten is not prepared to accept such approvals. Instead,  he says this proposed investment by an Indian company is a matter for the Queensland government. Does this mean that Labor would cease to have the federal government determine foreign investment policy?</p>
<p>The foregoing are not the only Labor policy issues which are uncertain. Decision time has surely arrived.</p>
<p><strong>Des Moore, </strong>South Yarra, Vic</p></blockquote>
<p>I also include in this Commentary some very brief references to recent commentaries on some other specific issues, viz</p>
<ul>
<li>After humming and hawing Shorten now says he would <em>not</em> review environmental decisions made by the Coalition. Yet at the same time Labor would not sign the “pledge” by the largest union, the CFMEU, tosupport the coalmining industry and, in implied support for the proposed Adani mine, for “coalmining developments that meet regulatory requirements”.  Contrary to Shorten, some Labor candidates say they would leave the question of reviews open (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/greg-brown_250419.pdf" target="_blank">Shorten Says No Adani Review</a></strong><strong>);</strong></li>
<li>Shorten leaves open the possibility of tax reductions for those on high incomes (<strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/roddan-kelly_250419.pdf" target="_blank">see this article</a></strong>);</li>
<li>Wong (Shadow Minister for Foreign Affairs) refuses to answer questions on the Australia-US alliance, Taiwan and refugees (<strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/riordan-han_250419.pdf" target="_blank">see this article</a></strong>);</li>
<li>GetUp has removed its extraordinary ad denying (in effect) that Abbott is a surf life saver and, while agreeing with the removal, Abbott’s main challenger (Stegall) amazingly denies she has any connection with GetUp (<strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/tony-abbott_250419.pdf" target="_blank">see this article</a></strong>);</li>
<li>How can Shorten’s promise to alleviate the cost of living be met with the latest <em>zero</em> increase in the cost (<strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/judith-sloan_250419.pdf" target="_blank">see this article</a></strong>)?</li>
</ul>
<p>The other two attachments reflect, firstly, the differences of view about the role of Muslims in the Sri Lankan bombings and the over 300 killings . As Andrew Bolt points out, it has exposed a general refusal of the political left to openly “admit” that one Islamic aim is to eliminate Christians, which is now certain in the case of the Sri Lankan killings. Of particular interest is the possibility that the SK killings are a revenge for the killings of Muslims in Christchurch New Zealand. Bolt’s analysis is revealing in identifying prominent politicians, including Obama and Hilary Clinton, who have refused to even acknowledge that the death of Christians has been the aim (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/andrew-bolt_250419.pdf" target="_blank">Bolt on Denials of Muslims in Sri Lankan</a></strong><strong>).</strong></p>
<p>The second attachment outlines the extent of persecution of Christians and the widespread failure of believers in Christianity to do much about it. The author is Bill Muelenberg who is an expert in Jihadism and who worked in the Institute of Public Affairs when I was also there. He points out that “there have been 34,891 deadly Islamic terror attacks since 9/11. That occurred 6,431 days ago. So we are now averaging five and a half such attacks each day since then. It is getting worse”(see attached <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/bill-muehlenberg.pdf" target="_blank">Sri Lanka, Jihadist Massacres, and Western Denial</a></strong><strong>).</strong></p>
<p>In an earlier Commentary I have also  written about Mark Durie who has written a new book, <strong>THE QUR’AN AND ITS BIBLICAL REFLEXES, </strong>which convincingly argues that the Koran requires Muslims to kill non-Muslims.</p>
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		<title>NZ Killings</title>
		<link>http://www.ipe.net.au/2019/03/nz-killings/</link>
		<comments>http://www.ipe.net.au/2019/03/nz-killings/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 17 Mar 2019 05:20:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Des Moore]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Federal Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Religion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Terrorism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Australian Strategic Policy Institute]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Breton Tarrant]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chip Le Grand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Paris]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Jennings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rebecca Urban]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Australian]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ipe.net.au/?p=2896</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As expected, there has been universal condemnation of the killing of 49 Muslims in two NZ mosques by an Australian using automatic weapons. That person is Breton Tarrant, who seems to have planned the killings carefully, including by spending three months in Christchurch and maintaining contacts with 3-4 colleagues.  The incident has naturally raised questions about the implications for police/defence policies and whether existing policies are adequate.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Some Thoughts About the NZ Killings</strong></p>
<p>As expected, there has been universal condemnation of the killing of 49 Muslims in two NZ mosques by an Australian using automatic weapons. That person is Breton Tarrant, who seems to have planned the killings carefully, including by spending three months in Christchurch and maintaining contacts with 3-4 colleagues.  The incident has naturally raised questions about the implications for police/defence policies and whether existing policies are adequate.</p>
<p>Peter Jennings, Head of the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (way back I was on ASPI’s Board), identifies some problems:</p>
<ul>
<li>Such an attack could just as easily have been made on Muslims in Australia (only 1.1% of New Zealand is populated by Muslims) and it could have been an even larger attack, as occurred at the Bataclan theatre in Paris in 2015 when 130 were killed, on that occasion by ISIL suiciders (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/wikipedia_170319.pdf" target="_blank">2015 Paris Attacks Killed 130</a></strong>);</li>
<li>Violence by “fascist white supremacists” has occurred before and is an ongoing matter of concern to police et al;</li>
<li>There is concern that social media will publicise the activity by Tarrant, who live-streamed it himself and issued a 73 page manifesto. Such wide coverage will attract the attention of “every teen with a grudge … and every lunatic with a manifesto” and “looking to be the next Anders Breivik, the Norwegian ‘far-right’ terrorist who killed 77 people in a lone attack in 2011”;</li>
<li>The NZ killing by an anti-Muslim will be used by Islamic groups “as a call to take the fight to ‘the far enemy’… of non-Muslim Westerners” (for further detail see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/peter-jennings_170319.pdf" target="_blank">NZ Killings of Muslims Have Possible Further Occurrences</a></strong><strong>).</strong></li>
</ul>
<p>The excellent coverage of the NZ incident in The Australian includes references to why Tarrant decided to do the killings. The basic aim given in his 73-page manifesto is to stop the “mass immigration of “non-Europeans to “our lands”, and “WHITE GENOCIDE”. Revenge is his motive for the attack, the author claims”. The problem started with the Ottomans (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/rebecca-urban_170319.pdf" target="_blank">NZ Killer’s Manifesto Postulates Events “Reguiring” Revenge</a></strong>).</p>
<p>Also, Tarrant’s live stream is “set to a seemingly incongruous soundtrack, a jaunty European folk song. Beneath the melody, there is a sinister message. The song was written to celebrate Serbia’s war against Bosnia and the ethnic cleansing of Muslims from the Balkans”. And the music “shifts to the flute and snare of the British Grenadiers, the marching tune used by the British redcoats against America’s revolutionaries”… We hear the opening lyric of The Prodigy song, Hellfire: “I am the god of hellfire, and I bring you, fire.’’ (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/chip-legrand_170319.pdf" target="_blank">NZ Killer Seeks Revenge For The Past</a></strong><strong>).</strong></p>
<p>My conclusion is that, regrettable as they are, incidents such as the NZ one do occur nowadays looking at it from the perspective of Western countries.  Terrorists do come from both the “white male” side and the Muslim side and our policies need to be as tight as possible to limit the incidents from either side ( in NZ’s case it appears that checking of airline luggage was not being properly carried out, controls over the gun he used were lax, and over the considerable time that Tarrant made contacts with his colleagues, NZ security should have been able to detect what was going on). My guess is that more deficiencies will emerge as the killings are reviewed.</p>
<p>Such security arrangements also need to have regard to the growing resentment from “white males”, particularly in European countries, to the increasing number of Muslims in those countries who do not integrate with other sections of the population. There are almost certainly many “white males” who have similar views about Muslim immigrants to those of Tarrant, albeit not to effecting killings.</p>
<p>It is sometimes said that most Muslims want to live peacefully. But polls and experience suggest differently and research by Australian expert theologian Mark Durie indicates the religion stimulates jihadist activity and requires a much lower role  for women. Durie’s latest book, <em>The Qur’an and Its Biblical Connections, </em>argues that, contrary to Muslim assertions, we don’t all believe in the same god and that the Koran actually contains revelations which threaten us today. As Durie puts it, “punishment of unbelievers was to be brought about in this life by the hands of believers. Slay them, says the Koran”.</p>
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		<title>US Defence &amp; Immigration Policies; US/China Trade; OZ Energy Policy</title>
		<link>http://www.ipe.net.au/2019/01/us-defence-uschina-trade-oz-energy-policy/</link>
		<comments>http://www.ipe.net.au/2019/01/us-defence-uschina-trade-oz-energy-policy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 12 Jan 2019 04:57:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Des Moore]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Immigration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Terrorism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AFR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alan Moran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Breitbart]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chuck Schumer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Davos]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Donald Trump]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Greg Sheridan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hosni Mubarak]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[James Mattis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Bolton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Roskam]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Julia Pavesi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kyoto]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Malcolm Turnbull]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mexico]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Pompeo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Muslim]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nancy Pelosi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scott Morrison]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Australian]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wall St Journal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WTO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Xi Jinping]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ipe.net.au/?p=2782</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Trump’s sudden announcement that the US intends to “immediately withdraw” troops from Syria (and much reduced troops for Afghanistan) has caused much confusion as to US defence policy and, following the resignation of Mattis as Defence Secretary, Trump has found it difficult to get a replacement. While consistent with his election manifesto, Trump appears to have recognised that he was being too hasty and it appears he has accepted the view of National Security adviser, John Bolton, that the withdrawal be extended over a longer period and that it should first involve the elimination of IS (which Trump initially claimed had been achieved). Even so, policy uncertainty remains.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Where Does US Defence Policy Stand Now</strong></p>
<p>Trump’s sudden announcement that the US intends to “immediately withdraw” troops from Syria (and much reduced troops for Afghanistan) has caused much confusion as to US defence policy and, following the resignation of Mattis as Defence Secretary, Trump has found it difficult to get a replacement. While consistent with his election manifesto, Trump appears to have recognised that he was being too hasty and it appears he has accepted the view of National Security adviser, John Bolton, that the withdrawal be extended over a longer period and that it should first involve the elimination of IS (which Trump initially claimed had been achieved). Even so, policy uncertainty remains.</p>
<p>This has been increased by an address made by US Secretary of State Pompeo in Cairo, who declared the US was committed to “expel every last Iranian boot” from Syria where, in alliance with Russia, Tehran, in its drive for regional hegemony, has been propping up the murderous Assad regime. Without mentioning Mr Obama by name, Mr Pompeo heaped scorn on the former president’s “misguided” thinking on the use of military force and reluctance to call out “radical Islam”. That was a reference to Mr Obama’s preference for the term “violent extremism” when referring to Islamist terrorism and his call for an “opening towards Muslims” that would “transcend stereotypes”.</p>
<p>“Remember: it was here, here in this very city, another American stood before you … he told you that radical terrorism does not stem from ideology. He told you 9/11 led my country to abandon its ideals in the Middle East,” Mr Pompeo said as he argued Mr Obama had misjudged the Arab Spring uprisings. The Obama administration’s Middle East policy, he said, was an example of “what not to do”, whether in striking the nuclear deal or abandoning long-time ally Hosni Mubarak, Egypt’s ruler, allowing him to be brought down by an uprising orchestrated by the Muslim Brotherhood” (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/pompeo-iran_120119.pdf" target="_blank">Pompeo on US Middle East Policy</a></strong><strong>)</strong>.</p>
<p>It is difficult to see how Pompeo’s statements can be reconciled with Trump’s.</p>
<p><strong>Who Will Break the Deadlock on Mexican Wall?</strong></p>
<p>The refusal  by Democrat’s House Speaker Pelosi and Senate Minority Leader Schumer to give Trump approval (in the House) for any finance for building the border wall with Mexico poses a challenge to Trump now facing a majority in the House. In return, Trump has refused to approve finance for a large number of federal government employees and has threatened to declare a national emergency which (it appears) would allow him to obtain indirectly finance for the wall.  But Trump says he is “not yet” taking such action.</p>
<p>Trump has defended his position not with a tweeter but by making his first formal address from the Oval Office (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/breitbart_120119.pdf" target="_blank">Text of Trump’s Address on Border</a>)</strong> and has announced that he will not now attend the Davos meeting in Switzerland which purports to give major international leaders an opportunity to expound their international policies.He is also reported as actively promoting his view particularly in the south of US.</p>
<p>The Democrats are using the opportunity to remind people not only of their new majority position in the House but also of the problems which Trump is experiencing on implementing some of the various policies he advocates and the problems created by the partial shut-down of the federal government. However, the Democrats are not reported as addressing the illegal immigrant problem which previous Presidents have acknowledged and, in respect of which, some have supported cross Mexican border measures, albeit not one stretching across the country as Trump promised in his election manifesto.</p>
<p>In an editorial yesterday The Australian points out that “in 2017 the number of undocumented migrants apprehended for crossing into the US was just over 300,000, the lowest number in 46 years. In a year, however, that figure has jumped to 400,000. A Morning Consult/Politico poll shows 42 per cent of Americans believe there is a “crisis” on the border, 12 per cent perceive it as “a problem” and only 12 per cent see nothing amiss; Democratic leaders would be wise not to ignore those numbers” (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/mexican-wall_120119.pdf" target="_blank">Merits in Border Security</a></strong><strong>).</strong></p>
<p>In short, the President of the US is correct in identifying an immigration problem, although he should have started to do that some time ago when he had control of both houses. He did of course attempt early in his Presidency to limit immigrants from seven mainly Muslim countries and there has been an ongoing debate in the US on the extent of controls on immigrants. The increasing immigrant policy problem faced by various countries, including the development of the UK’s English Channel problem (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/julia-pavesi_120119.pdf" target="_blank">Migrants Attempting to Cross English Channel</a></strong><strong>)</strong>, may now attract more support in the US for some tightening of controls.</p>
<p>As Greg Sheridan points out, “it is legitimate for Clinton, Schumer, Pelosi and other Democrats to argue that Trump is proposing a bigger wall than that which they previously supported, or that they have changed their minds. What is not legitimate is to claim that Trump’s proposed wall — refashioned rhetorically now into a barrier, and to be made of steel rather than concrete — is a unique crime against the very essence of humanity and decency.  And the wall or barrier or fence that Trump wants to build would certainly help control illegal immigration. So, as ever, there is a good deal of plain common sense in the Trump proposal and it is also what he promised on the election trail … In the next few days Trump will either escalate, by declaring a national emergency and using extraordinary powers — which would be ridiculous but might be effective politically — or capitulate, with some minimal face-saving compromise. In the meantime he has again succeeded in being the trapeze artist from whom no one can avert their eyes” (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/greg-sheridan_120119.pdf" target="_blank">Sheridan on Trump’s Wall Explanation</a></strong><strong>).</strong></p>
<p>The Morrison government has made no comment on this matter.  Without supporting Trump’s building of the wall, it would be appropriate in circumstances where there is a general public discussion on immigration policy for Australia to indicate support of the US’s attempts to establish an effective regulatory system to control migrants. That is, of course, a potential major election issue here.</p>
<p><strong>US Trade With China</strong></p>
<p>An article published in the Wall St Journal reports that talks on US/China trade have resumed and that this constitutes “a show of Beijing’s seriousness”. At this stage the representatives on each side are not the most senior but the preparedness of China to engage in talks follows an agreement reached between Trump and Xi in December that the US would suspend until March tariff increases on $US200 bn of Chinese imports and thereby give the Chinese time to address what the US regards as unfair trade and economic practices (China became a member of the World Trade Organisation in 2001).</p>
<p>China has an enormous trade surplus with the US, with in 2017 its exports to the US amounting to $506bn and its imports from the US only $130bn (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/kimberly-amadeo_120119.pdf" target="_blank">China’s Large Trade Surplus With US</a></strong><strong>). </strong>This appears to confirm that Trump has correctly threatened trade action against China not for protectionist reasons per se but because China is not conforming with WTO rules. Even so, the various aspects discussed in the attached indicate the complexity attached to any unwinding of Chinese restrictions, which extend to investment in China. As a major source for Australian exports, it is important that a satisfactory outcome be achieved.</p>
<p><strong>Energy Policy</strong></p>
<p>In my Commentary of 1 Jan I drew attention to the Morrison government’s decision to carry-over emissions credits obtained under the Kyoto agreements and that this meant that Australia’s emissions reduction target of 26% by 2030, as agreed by Turnbull, will in practice be much less. I also noted that, as a result, the Coalition is an even  better position than it was to contrast the adverse economic effects with Labor’s much larger target of a 50% reduction by 2030.</p>
<p>However, there remains much that needs to be done to effect a reduction in electricity prices and the operation of the electricity market. In his analysis of the problems that still exist, climate expert Alan Moran pointed out on January 9 that the latest report by the Energy Regulator, “in line with other official analyses, hugely understated how the electricity market has been undermined by 15 years of government subsidies to the inherently low-quality supply that is wind/solar” (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/energy-report_120119.pdf" target="_blank">The Australian Energy Regulator’s Wholesale electricity market performance report</a></strong>).Moran offers a disheartening conclusion as follows:</p>
<blockquote><p>“Its analytical shortcomings aside, the report’s call for stable policy is a forlorn one.  With half a dozen major Commonwealth policy direction changes since 2001 (and many others at the state level) <strong>there is zero prospect of policy stability.</strong>  There never can be such stability when energy policy is inextricably tied to emission reduction policy and the targets for renewable energy vary from zero to 100 per cent”.</p></blockquote>
<p>If the Morrison government can further moderate its energy policy, it would increase its electoral chances. But as John Roskam said last Friday in an article in the AFR “The Liberals are terrified to talk about industrial relations, they don’t have an energy policy and on questions of values such as freedom of speech and freedom of religion they can’t agree among themselves on a position”. A lot of policy changes are needed.</p>
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		<title>&#8220;Far Right&#8221; Views Assessed; France Crisis</title>
		<link>http://www.ipe.net.au/2019/01/far-right-views-assessed-france-crisis/</link>
		<comments>http://www.ipe.net.au/2019/01/far-right-views-assessed-france-crisis/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Jan 2019 11:50:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Des Moore]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Federal Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Immigration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Terrorism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Antifa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bill Shorten]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Des Moore]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Donald Trump]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Emmanuel Macron]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fraser Anning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Marie le Pen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Muslim]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scott Morrison]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Australian]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ipe.net.au/?p=2777</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It is not clear whether or not Senator Anning’s attendance at a small St Kilda protest rally was intended to stir public discussion and comments from Morrison and Shorten. But this has happened and some points made in my Commentary on Monday have also been reflected in that discussion. Importantly, The Australian has published a number of letters (see OZ Letters on “Far-Right”), including my own as what is sometimes called the lead letter]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Senator Anning Stirs the Migrant Pot But Morrison Misses Opportunity</strong></p>
<p>It is not clear whether or not Senator Anning’s attendance at a small St Kilda protest rally was intended to stir public discussion and comments from Morrison and Shorten. But this has happened and some points made in my Commentary on Monday have also been reflected in that discussion. Importantly, The Australian has published a number of letters (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/australian-letters_090119.pdf" target="_blank">OZ Letters on “Far-Right”</a></strong>), including my own as what is sometimes called the lead letter, viz</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>Not just extreme Right who have migrant concerns </strong></p>
<p>The Australian, Letters, 12:00AM January 9, 2019 (Ed deleted bits in square brackets)</p>
<p>Your coverage of the [small]protest rally on St Kilda beach attended by Queensland senator Fraser Anning draws attention to his unverified relationship with Vietnamese traders who had been disrupted by youths of African origin [and] who had also caused disruption at the very same beach (”Anning not with us: Vietnamese”, 8/1). [Anning acquired his Senate seat through the back door and is no longer a member of a party. And while he is claiming his expenses, it seems that is legitimate]</p>
<p>[True,] Anning is said to have a “far Right” view but his expressed concern about immigrants having Islamic characteristics or having African origin may not be confined to those with a “far Right” view. As indicated by the recent debate on immigration, most Australians recognise there is limited absorption capacity both in terms of numbers and characteristics which extend beyond our Euro-Judeo culture.</p>
<p>The UK is attempting to stop illegal immigration across the English channel from many who see it as an El Dorado. And while France is still officially welcoming migrants, surveys reveal a majority of the French population want immigration halted or regulated drastically. That President Macron&#8217;s polling has fallen to only 18 per cent, and that changes are favoured to the hundreds of no-go zones under the control of imams and Muslim gangs, indicates the importance of having an acceptable population mix from immigrants.</p>
<p><strong>Des Moore,</strong> South Yarra, Vic</p></blockquote>
<p>My main intention was to refer to the possible implications of one of Anning’s reported observations at the rally (“I would not bring any more Muslims or Sudanese in the country. I would put a ban on that. And if any of them committed a crime, I would be shipping them home to where they came from”). As is evident from the heading made by The Australian to its main published letters the key point is that it is <em>“Not just extreme Right who have migrant concerns”</em>.</p>
<p>My letter, and Monday’s Commentary,  sought to draw attention to other countries which have “migrant concerns”, notably France now led by President Macron with polling of only 18 percent and a “far-right” Marie le Pen hot on his trail. The latest report on the French crisis indicates that the French PM has taken over from Macron the handling of the “yellow vesters” and some arrests are being made (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/yellow-vest_090119.pdf" target="_blank">French PM To Respond To Vesters</a></strong><strong>).</strong> But it appears that France has become ungovernable unless imprisonment action is taken against violent groups, who might even include some in the Antifa movement whose members here took part in our St Kilda rally (see PS below). Other European countries have migrant concerns as indeed does the United States, with Trump about to make a major statement in support of constructing a wall to help control migrants entering from Mexico.</p>
<p>But most remarkable is the failure of Morrison to use the public discussion/debate on Anning and the rally to recognise that Australia itself has “migrant concerns”. In Monday’s Commentary of 7 January I noted that both Morrison and Shorten deemed it necessary to criticise Anning’s attendance at the rally and quoted Morrison as saying that  “Australians are not anti-migrant nor racist. Genuine concerns held by fair minded Australians about immigration levels, border protection or law and order should not be used as a cover or be hijacked to push hateful and ugly racist agendas.”“As I did yesterday, I’ll always be prepared to call out extremism in all its forms.”</p>
<p>But immigration policy is not simply “calling out extremism in all its forms”. While there is no media statement for 6 January on Morrison’s media releases web, it appears that he has missed the opportunity to make a general statement along the lines that, as I say in my letter, “most Australians recognise there is limited absorption capacity both in terms of numbers and characteristics which extend beyond our Euro-Judeo culture”. Some such observation would likely put the Coalition ahead of Labor on an important policy issue.</p>
<p><em>I note that the letter published by The Australian from a Mr Jeremy Browne refers to the <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/antifa_090119.pdf" target="_blank">Antifa </a></strong>movement being at the St Kilda rally. That movement has US origins but is described in Wikepedia as “a conglomeration of left wing autonomous, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Militant">militant</a> <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-fascism">anti-fascist</a> groups in the United States. The principal feature of antifa groups is their use of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Direct_action">direct action</a>. They engage in varied protest tactics, which include digital activism, property damage, physical violence, and <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harassment">harassment</a> against those whom they identify as fascist, racist, or on the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Far-right">far-right</a>. Conflicts are both online and in real life. They tend to be <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-capitalism">anti-capitalist</a> and they are predominantly <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Far-left_politics">far-left</a> and militant left, which includes <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anarchist">anarchists</a>, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Communist">communists</a> and <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Socialist">socialists</a>. Their stated focus is on fighting <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Far-right_politics">far-right</a> and <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/White_supremacy">white supremacist</a> ideologies directly, rather than through electoral means”. It seems likely that it was people belonging to this movement who ensured that the rally was not a peaceful one.</em></p>
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		<title>Hollywood Bias Exposed; Trump Sticks to Troop Withrawal; Romney&#8217;s Vew</title>
		<link>http://www.ipe.net.au/2019/01/hollywood-bias-exposed-trump-sticks-to-troop-withrawal-romneys-vew/</link>
		<comments>http://www.ipe.net.au/2019/01/hollywood-bias-exposed-trump-sticks-to-troop-withrawal-romneys-vew/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 04 Jan 2019 02:50:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Des Moore]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Federal Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Terrorism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Avi Abelow]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bill Clinton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bill Muehelenberg]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Breitbart]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Daniel Kurtzman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dick Cheney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Donald Trump]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[George W. Bush]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Greg Sheridan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hollywood]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michelle Moons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mitt Romney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pew]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Recep Tayyip Erdogan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syria]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ipe.net.au/?p=2768</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It is widely accepted that, through its films and those acting in them, Hollywood favourably portrays the left and criticises the right. Because it has established this position over the years, most viewers/readers take account of this bias when commenting on a film and simply say no more than “well just as one expected”. But occasionally the bias is so bad that an observer feels forced to draw attention to it.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Media/Film Bias Continues Apace </strong></p>
<p>It is widely accepted that, through its films and those acting in them, Hollywood favourably portrays the left and criticises the right. Because it has established this position over the years, most viewers/readers take account of this bias when commenting on a film and simply say no more than “well just as one expected”. But occasionally the bias is so bad that an observer feels forced to draw attention to it.</p>
<p>That is the case with the film “Vice”, which has just appeared and has received five stars from some film critics. But while The Australian’s Foreign Editor, Greg Sheridan, acknowledges that the film is “superbly made, ­indeed brilliant”, he portrays it as “profoundly dishonest in its treatment of Dick Cheney, George W. Bush’s vice-president.” Indeed, he rightly points out that  “it has a wider cultural significance, for it demonstrates one reason it is so difficult for conservatives to prevail in Western societies. The Left has colonised and politicised much of elite and even popular arts production and uses them to project political ­messages. Vice is a supreme propaganda film, using all manner of sly tricks to dehumanise its villains. It is full of specific falsehoods. More generally, the innuendo and the physical mockery of its designated villains makes it manipulative and dishonourable”.</p>
<p>Sheridan’s comments, which are worth reading in full (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/greg-sheridan_040119.pdf" target="_blank">Hollywood on Cheney</a></strong>), reflect my own now rather hazy recollection of what happened under Bush as President and Cheney as his Vice P. I note in particular Sheridan’s comment that  “Far from Bush and Cheney lying about the intelligence, they reported the same intelligence as the Clinton administration had. I confirmed this with many senior Clinton figures who had all believed Saddam had WMDs”.</p>
<p>Sheridan reference to the film’s “wider cultural significance” is also important. Such a well-made, five star film will be widely seen and its bias will be more accepted as fact than might otherwise be the case. One of the bias objects in “Vice” might be to pose the question of whether the Trump administration is “as poor as” the Bush one seems to be portrayed in the film. I don’t know when the film was made but the latest Pew survey published on October 1 in the US summarises the result as “Trump gets lower ratings than his predecessors in recent midterm years – Barack Obama, George W. Bush and Bill Clinton – for being trustworthy, empathetic and well-informed. However, Trump fares comparatively well in public perceptions of his ability to get things done” (See <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/pew-research_040119.pdf" target="_blank">Pew Rating on Trump</a></strong><strong>). </strong></p>
<p>The extent of the opposition to Trump in the US might have influenced the way the film makers presented Bush/ Cheney in “Vice”. My own perspective is that, although as Pew says “Trump Gets Negative Ratings for Many Personal Traits”, his policy decisions have made an important positive contribution to the way  the US has been seen domestically and rescued it from the negative perspective which developed under Obama both domestically and here in Australia.</p>
<p><strong>Trump’s Negative Perspective on Syria</strong></p>
<p>In my 24 December Commentary I said that Trump’s decision to withdraw US troops from Syria was sending “the wrong signal to Islamic extremists, and to those with Islamic beliefs in other countries”. An editorial in today’s Australian rightly argues that”Mr Trump failed to take into account the historical perspective of what has and has not worked in the battle against Islamist terrorism since the US-led invasion of Afghanistan in 2001”.</p>
<p>It also suggests that Trump has “not understood the implications for the West and Israel of recent moves that have highlighted the way Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, at best a very uncertain NATO ally, is now working in lock-step over Syria’s future with Vladimir Putin, Iran and the Assad regime, with each seeking to consolidate their gains in Syria” (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/trump-syria_040119.pdf" target="_blank">Trump on Syria</a></strong><strong>). </strong>It is encouraging to have such points made in a leading editorial.</p>
<p>The importance of continuing to draw attention to Islamic terrorist activity, and the need to respond to it, is reflected in the latest reporting of the stabbing by a “Muslim terrorist of two civilians and a police officer at a train station in Manchester. He shouted ‘Allahu akbar’ and other pro-Islam sentiments upon his arrest but the authorities have arrested him under the ‘Mental Health Act’. Thankfully they are using the counter-terror unit to investigate, but probably only because witnessed heard him shouting those Islamic sayings. Had he not uttered those sentiments, the British authorities might very well have ignored the need to investigate it as a terror attack and preferred to deal with it as a ‘mental health’ issue (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/avi-abelow_040119.pdf" target="_blank">Terrorism Again in Manchester</a></strong>).</p>
<p>A detailed report of the recent murder of two Scandinavian students while hiking in the Atlas Mountains in Morocco is particularly interesting.  The author, Bill Muehlenberg (an expert on Islam who is known to me), says “the horrific deaths (including decapitation) were videotaped by the Islamists and images of it were sent to parents of one of the girls. But as has now become the norm, much of the mainstream media in the West has put its own spin on the story. Thus we are once again left to get the actual facts from the alternative media. And there are several issues here which need to be addressed. The main one has to do with the nature of Islam. There is nothing unusual about these murders for the devout Muslim. It is all covered in, and approved by, the main Islamic religious texts. Beheading the infidel is simply par for the course. I document this here in some detail: <a href="https://billmuehlenberg.com/2014/08/27/beheading-and-islam/" target="_blank">billmuehlenberg.com/2014/08/27/beheading-and-islam/</a>” (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/bill-muehlenberg_040119.pdf" target="_blank">Morocco, Muslims, Murder and Media Mischief</a></strong>).</p>
<p>Since Trump made the announced withdrawal, and the resignation of some military advisers, there have been reports that he is backtracking. However, it appears that all that he is saying is that the time of the withdrawal is not yet determined.</p>
<p><strong>Romney Attacks Trump Too<br />
</strong><br />
The former presidential candidate, Mitt Romney, who has now become a senator, has also attacked Trump “on balance, his conduct over the past two years, particularly his actions this month, is evidence that the president has not risen to the mantle of the office” (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/michelle-moons_040119.pdf" target="_blank">New Senator Romney Attacks Trump’s Character</a></strong><strong>). </strong>In the attachment,Michelle Moons, who is a White House Correspondent for Breitbart News, reports that “Romney acknowledged that Trump had enacted “policies mainstream Republicans have promoted for years.” He praised aligning “U.S. <a href="https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/taxes/2018/07/10/how-new-us-corporate-tax-rates-compare-globally/36561275/" target="_blank">corporate taxes</a> with those of global competitors,” deregulation, cracking down on China’s “unfair” trade practices, criminal justice reform, and appointments of conservative judges.</p>
<p>But he went on to assail Trump’s character: “With the nation so divided, resentful and angry, presidential leadership in qualities of character is indispensable. And it is in this province where the incumbent’s shortfall has been most glaring.”</p>
<p>But Romney’s assail may need to be assessed against the “gaffes” he made during his presidential campaign (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/daniel-kurtzman_040119.pdf" target="_blank">Romney’s Gaffes</a></strong><strong>).</strong></p>
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		<title>Three More Terrorists; Fairfax/Ipso Poll; Immigration Policy</title>
		<link>http://www.ipe.net.au/2018/11/three-more-terrorists-fairfaxipso-poll-immigration-policy/</link>
		<comments>http://www.ipe.net.au/2018/11/three-more-terrorists-fairfaxipso-poll-immigration-policy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Nov 2018 10:50:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Des Moore]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Election Cycle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Immigration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Religion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Terrorism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[VIC State Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ASIO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bill Shorten]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bourke Street]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Centre of Independent Studies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chip Le Grand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Daniel Andrews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[David Crowe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fairfax]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Greg Brown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IPSOS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jeremy Sammut]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Malcolm Turnbull]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Schliebs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Martin Pakula]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monica Wilkie]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Muslim]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Paris]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Dutton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rachel Baxendale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Richard Ferguson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scott Morrison]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Simon Benson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tessa Akerman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Australian]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United Nations]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ipe.net.au/?p=2670</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In my Commentary published on 18 November I suggested the handling of the Bourke St incident indicated serious deficiencies. This has been confirmed by developments since then.

Most important has been the statement by Victorian Attorney General Pakula that Victorian police had not received information from federal sources which would warrant them acting to at least monitor the now dead Muslim terrorist, Shire Ali. But Victorian police chief Ashton subsequently announced that they had in fact received the necessary federal information. This prompted me to send a letter to the press arguing that Pakula should resign but, as he has stuck to his guns and has been supported by Victorian Premier Andrews, that won’t happen a couple of days before the election (see OZ on Bourke St Terrorist Revelations and Pakula Claims Not Informed of Terrorists Passport Withdrawal). ]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Serious Deficiencies In Security Revealed in Victoria </strong></p>
<p>In my Commentary published on 18 November I suggested the handling of the Bourke St incident indicated serious deficiencies. This has been confirmed by developments since then.</p>
<p>Most important has been the statement by Victorian Attorney General Pakula that Victorian police had not received information from federal sources which would warrant them acting to at least monitor the now dead Muslim terrorist, Shire Ali. But Victorian police chief Ashton subsequently announced that they had in fact received the necessary federal information. This prompted me to send a letter to the press arguing that Pakula should resign but, as he has stuck to his guns and has been supported by Victorian Premier Andrews, that won’t happen a couple of days before the election (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/australian-editorial_211118.pdf" target="_blank">OZ on Bourke St Terrorist Revelations</a></strong>and <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/rachel-baxendale_211118.pdf" target="_blank">Pakula Claims Not Informed of Terrorists Passport Withdrawal</a></strong><strong>). </strong></p>
<p>My letter was published in today’s Australian (see below)  and the Herald Sun published a slightly different version</p>
<blockquote><p><strong><em>Fix terror tracking</em></strong></p>
<p><em>The Australian, Letters, November 21</em></p>
<p><em>Following the killing of Sisto Malaspina by terrorist Hassan Khalif Shire Ali and the many questions about the performance of security, police services and Victorian ministers, three men have now been arrested over another alleged terrorist plot (“Melbourne terror raids: three men charged over plot designed for ‘maximum casualties’”, 20/11).</em></p>
<p><em>While the capacity of protective services to prevent terrorism is limited, it must be given top priority in monitoring suspects. But despite removal of his passport, and frequent attendance at Muslim prayer bodies, Shire Ali was not.</em></p>
<p><em>Information about potential activists must be fully exchanged between state and federal agencies and ministers. Despite the initial denial by Victorian Attorney-General Pakula (“ASIO, Home Affairs contradict Martin Pakula on Shire Ali’s passport”, 19/11), this now appears to have been the case. This avoidance of facts, and failure to stop Shire Ali, calls for the resignation of Pakula.</em></p>
<p><em>Most importantly, federal and state governments need to review what appear to be serious deficiencies in arrangements for preventing terrorist activity.</em></p>
<p><strong><em>Des Moore,</em></strong><em> South Yarra, Vic</em></p></blockquote>
<p>Debate on this incident will doubtless continue but public attention moved yesterday to the announcement by Victorian police that three Muslims had been arrested as terrorists. It appears that these three had been planning a shooting expedition into a large crowd and their planning had been followed by police for some months despite their use of encryptions (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/legrand-schliebs-akerman_211118.pdf" target="_blank">Objectives of Three Terrorists</a></strong><strong>). </strong>Note that they were influenced by“Anwar al-­Awlaki, a Yemeni-American ­cleric who was killed in a drone ­attack and whose hate sermons inspired two of America’s worst terror attacks: the Pulse Nightclub massacre in Orlando, Florida, and the San Bernardino shooting”.</p>
<p>The report also reveals that “­Armagan Eriklioglu, the father of two brothers in the alleged terror cell, posted a link to a Turkish-language Islamic State Facebook –account”. He was not arrested yesterday and the report says he “is not suspected of being part of his sons’ alleged plans”, which seems surprising.</p>
<p>It is possible that this decision by Victorian police to arrest three was timed in order to demonstrate their efficiency (sic) after their poor performance in handling Shire Ali!</p>
<p>As to encryptions, Home Affairs Minister Dutton took the opportunity to call for “the Intelligence Committee today within the parliament to return their advice back to parliament very quickly because this is legislation the government needs to deal with very quickly,” he told reporters. “We have a bill before the parliament that provides the appropriate safety mechanisms, the privacy protections in place, but it allows police and ASIO to do their jobs in relation to these terrorist investigations”. “Mr Shorten has been opposed to this legislation but he needs to review his position as well. We are in a position of vulnerability” (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/richard-ferguson_211118.pdf" target="_blank">Dutton Seeks Shorten’s Support on Encryption</a></strong><strong>).</strong></p>
<p><strong>Fairfax-Ipsos Poll Shows Increased Coalition Rating</strong></p>
<p>The Fairfax/Ipsos poll for Nov 14-17 shows an increase in the Coalition’s rating to 48/52 TPP from 45/55 in Oct 10-13. At this level the Morrison government is at a higher rating than the Turnbull one was when he was deposed. But there is still a long way to  go for the Coalition and Morrison’s personal performance rating fell to 48 per cent from 50 per cent and his preferred PM rating also fell by a percentage point to 47<strong>.</strong></p>
<p>The poll also asked pollers about their views on Energy Policy and Immigrants from Muslim countries, viz</p>
<ul>
<li>Main energy priority for Government is 47% for <strong>Reduce Household Bills</strong> cf with 39% for <strong>Reduce Emissions.</strong>This suggests that, once the cost of reducing emissions hits bank accounts, there is a tendency to reduce support for measures which add to living costs. If the Morrison government were to reduce the cost of emissions (and hence Household Bills) that would likely further reduce support for the mythical dangerous warming thesis.</li>
<li>For views on <strong>Immigrants from Muslim</strong> countries, 47% say they should be reduced (cf 45% in previous poll) compared with 35% who voted for them to stay the same (cf 29% in previous poll). Those favouring an increase fell from 23% to 14%.  As this poll was taken before the Bourke St killing, it probably understates those who think Muslim immigrants should be reduced, as does the latest arrest of three Muslims. A more appropriate assessment would likely occur if the government were to publish an information paper on Muslim beliefs (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/david-crowe_211118.pdf" target="_blank">Fairfax-Ipso Poll Opposes Increased Muslims</a></strong><strong>)</strong></li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Immigration Statement by Morrison</strong></p>
<p>In his so-called population speech on Monday, Morrison “floated the idea of reducing the permanent migration cap by about 30,000 people a year. This would bring the maximum permanent intake to the level to which it has fallen in the past year, despite the current cap being 190,000. The population plan will be discussed at the next meeting ­between state and federal govern­ments on December 12” (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/greg-brown_211118.pdf" target="_blank">Possible Immigration Targets</a></strong><strong>). </strong></p>
<p>While Labor has indicated it may support a reduction, this is a disappointing response to the many commentators who have argued for a higher reduction figure and to the decision not being made by the Federal government, which should be the policy determinant.</p>
<p>However, Morrison is reported as saying that “Australia will refuse to sign up to the UN’s migration pact, which has already been rejected by the US and several European countries, on the grounds it would weaken border security and undermine the annual immigration program”. He took the position that the compact is</p>
<p>“contrary to the ­national interest and would be used against Australia by critics of its border policies”. “I’m not going to sign up to an agreement that I believe will only be used by those who have always tried to tear our stronger border policies down”… “I experienced this first-hand back when I was responsible for stopping the boats. We must ­always decide on these issues and not have our laws undermined by outside influences” … and has a “fundamental flaw” in failing “to distinguish ­between illegal and “proper” ­migration when it came to the provision of welfare benefits” (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/simon-benson_211118.pdf" target="_blank">Australia Not Signing UN Global Migrant Pact</a></strong>).</p>
<p>Hopefully, this decision may also lead to rejecting other global agreements, such as the Paris one on climate change which is clearly not in Australia’s interests. But his statements justifying our immigration policy also need to emphasize that, while reflecting the cultural basis of our society, it is non-discriminatory. As indicated in the recent report by the Centre of Independent Studies, the social cohesion objective is an important component of immigration policy (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/sammut-wilkie_211118.pdf" target="_blank">CIS Report on Immigration</a></strong>).</p>
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		<title>Immigration Policy; Turnbull Rampant; Terrorist Identification Rules</title>
		<link>http://www.ipe.net.au/2018/11/immigration-policy-turnbull-rampant-terrorist-identification-rules/</link>
		<comments>http://www.ipe.net.au/2018/11/immigration-policy-turnbull-rampant-terrorist-identification-rules/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2018 20:24:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Des Moore]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Election Cycle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Immigration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Terrorism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bourke Street]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Californian Fires]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Craig Rucker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Erin Pearson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Stone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Malcolm Turnbull]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Koziol]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Paris]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Paul Toohey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Dutton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scott Morrison]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Spectator Australia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United Nations]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ipe.net.au/?p=2659</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In last Thursday’s Commentary I drew attention to an article in The Australian by John Stone suggesting that immigration isthe most obvious example of Morrison’s present policy deficiencies and arguing that the permanent settler program should be cut by 60,000. Stone added that if Morrison  was “prepared to say that Australia will continue to be non-discriminatory on racial or ethnic grounds, but will henceforth reject all permanen­t visa applicants judged to be culturally incompatible with our Australian way of life, he would enormously enhance his electoral prospects next year”.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Immigration Policy Needs to be Stated</strong></p>
<p>In last Thursday’s Commentary I drew attention to an article in The Australian by John Stone suggesting that immigration isthe most obvious example of Morrison’s present policy deficiencies and arguing that the permanent settler program should be cut by 60,000. Stone added that if Morrison  was “prepared to say that Australia will continue to be non-discriminatory on racial or ethnic grounds, but will henceforth reject all permanen­t visa applicants judged to be culturally incompatible with our Australian way of life, he would enormously enhance his electoral prospects next year”.</p>
<p>Since then the need for a statement on immigration policy has become more important given that the <a href="http://www.un.org/en/conf/migration/" target="_blank">Intergovernmental Conference to Adopt the Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration</a>  is to be held on 10 – 11 December in Marrakech, Morocco. Although not legally binding this would allow the UN (which will establish the compact itself through an agency) and representatives of other member countries a basis for seeking changes to our policy. One out of a large number of “rules” is that the compact “aims to mitigate the adverse drivers and structural factors that hinder people from building and maintaining sustainable livelihoods in their countries of origin” (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/global-compact_181118.pdf" target="_blank">UN Agreement on Migration</a></strong><strong>, </strong>which allows access to the Compact of no less than 34 pages!).</p>
<p>Australia should not be a member of any international body having the right to use such an arrangement as a basis for comment on our immigration policy. That is a matter for Australia alone. <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/spectator-australia_181118.pdf" target="_blank">Last Friday&#8217;s Spectator weekly magazine</a></strong> has an editorial arguing strongly that we should not sign the compact and concluding that“if the Morrison government goes ahead and signs Australia up to these follies, thereby putting at risk our precious sovereignty and hard-won border security, it will be impossible to continue” the support it has been giving to the Morrison government.</p>
<p><strong>Turnbull Continues Rampage </strong></p>
<p>Contrary to his undertaking to keep out of politics after he ceased being PM, Turnbull has told a NSW Bar Association dinner of the various faults of the Liberal Party and of the failure of anyone who voted to remove him to explain why! According to an SMH/Age reporter,  Turnbull “reserved his harshest remarks for the man blamed for instigating his demise &#8211; Home Affairs Minister Peter Dutton, who scored 35 votes against Mr Turnbull in the <a href="https://www.smh.com.au/link/follow-20170101-p4zypn" target="_blank">first leadership ballot</a>, in what turned out to be a fatal blow. ‘If Peter was the answer, you’d have to ask: what was the question?’ Turnbull said to roars of laughter and applause. He later added: ‘I&#8217;m not a hater, I&#8217;m a positive person’&#8221; (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/michael-koziol_181118.pdf" target="_blank">Turnbull on Dutton</a></strong>).</p>
<p>It is surprising that Morrison has not yet indicated that Turnbull insisted on policies which became inconsistent with Liberal values and that this was the cause of his removal. Such a statement would help the Coalition’s polling. Indeed, it may be a sine qua non for it.</p>
<p><strong>Identifying Possible Terrorists</strong></p>
<p>Both News Corp and Fairfax Press <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/erin-pearson_181118.pdf" target="_blank">have continued today to write</a></strong> about the Bourke St incident and have been examining the problems faced by the police and intelligent agencies in assessing who should receive copies of “sensitive” assessments of possible terrorists and at what stage legal action should be taken to stop possible terrorist action. From the outside it appears that there are serious deficiencies in existing arrangements and, while there are limits in the extent to which terrorists can be identified, based on the experiences reported in regard to the Bourke St and other terrorists it should be possible to tighten constraints on people who are on the fringes without unduly affecting civil liberties.</p>
<p>The fact that the Bourke St terrorist had had his passport withdrawn sent a warning message and all relevant authorities should have been told. Similarly, the fact that he had <em>also</em> broken his numerous bails should have warranted a watching regime, as should the Perth man who had his passport closed. It is of concern that so many appear to be being watched and that this costs much. But Australia does not want to reach the French situation where armed forces are used in the Paris streets ie better to increase spending now when we likely have fewer possible terrorists (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/paul-toohey_181118.pdf" target="_blank">Difficulties in Identifying Terrorists</a></strong><strong>).</strong></p>
<p><strong>California Fires</strong></p>
<p>The horrendous fires in California have produced many explanations of causes , including of course “climate change”. But CFACTs refers to the view of Marc Morano, a US climate expert who operates <a href="https://cfact.us1.list-manage.com/track/click?u=87b74a936c723115dfa298cf3&amp;id=3be4983e57&amp;e=4bdd1b61e3" target="_blank"><strong><em>Climate Depot</em></strong></a>, that “California&#8217;s rain and drought are historically normal.  In fact, the total U.S. acreage burned by wildfires is actually down in recent years. That said, there are anthropogenic roots to this catastrophe. But they are not the human causal links Governor Brown points to. Rapid population growth, extensive development, poor water management, and most critically, irresponsible forest management are principally to blame. Green activists blocked forest clearing in the name of species protection, leaving California with 129 million dead trees, clogging 8.9 million acres”.</p>
<p>Note the graph showing that the extent of US forests burned was much greater in the 1920-30s than it has been recently (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/craig-rucker_181118.pdf" target="_blank">California Forest Fires</a></strong>).</p>
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		<title>Continued Concern on Islamic Threat</title>
		<link>http://www.ipe.net.au/2018/11/continued-concern-on-islamic-threat/</link>
		<comments>http://www.ipe.net.au/2018/11/continued-concern-on-islamic-threat/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Nov 2018 00:56:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Des Moore]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Federal Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Religion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Terrorism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ahlus Sunnah Wal Jamaah]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ASIO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bill Shorten]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Islam]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Liam Mannix]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Muslim]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Dutton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tessa Ackerman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Australian]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ipe.net.au/?p=2652</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As expected, more information is emerging about the activity of radicalised Muslims and their relationship with the Hume Islamic Centre. The most worrying development reported today about the Bourke St terrorist, Shire Ali, is that he was on bail when the killing occurred and had a record of getting away with breaking previous bails. This information would have been available to the Victorian government and to senior police. In those circumstances Shire Ali should have been at least closely watched but there have been no reports that he was.  More details will be available tomorrow but there is no doubt that this will become a major issue in the imminent Victorian election.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Continued Concern on Islamic Threat</strong></p>
<p>As expected, more information is emerging about the activity of radicalised Muslims and their relationship with the Hume Islamic Centre. The most worrying development reported today about the Bourke St terrorist, Shire Ali, is that he was <em>on bail </em>when the killing occurred and had a record of getting away with breaking previous bails. This information would have been available to the Victorian government and to senior police. In those circumstances Shire Ali should have been at least closely watched but there have been no reports that he was.  More details will be available tomorrow but there is no doubt that this will become a major issue in the imminent Victorian election.</p>
<p>Earlier today, the Fairfax press reported that the Hume centre is where (now known) terrorists have said they have attended and presumably participated in endorsing the message conveyed by the leader (this denied by the head, Sheik Omran). Now the centre is seeking to <em>increase</em> the number of attendees at peak periods to up to 500. Shire Ali, who killed the owner of the coffee shop in Bourke St, apparently attended the centre, although Omran denies this too &#8211; &#8220;Shire Ali, he never came here — or once in a blue moon.” Omran, who is head of the fundamentalist Ahlus Sunnah Wal Jamaah Association, also makes the unbelievable claim that no radicalizations have occurred at the centre.</p>
<p>The only body responsible for approving or denying approval to expand seems to be the local Hume Council and the major question for considering expansion seems to be whether there would be enough car parking available in the surrounding area (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/liam-mannix_161118.pdf" target="_blank">Islamic Centre Seeks Expansion</a></strong><strong>).</strong> One would have thought that the Federal government should also have a say and should also be informed about any radicalizations. It is possible that Australian Federal Police/ASIO have infiltrated the centre but there should be publicly available information about the centre (and any other similar ones), just as there is for normal clubs et al.</p>
<p>The Australian reported today that “Islamic State-aligned groups have released fresh propaganda based on Friday’s terror attack in Bourke Street, as new data showed a high incidence of ­violent radicalism among Australians denied their passports by security agencies. Islamic State-linked Sunni Shield Media Foundation this week released posters with ­images of the Bourke Street ­attack, including one showing ­attacker Hassan Khalif Shire Ali attempting to stab a police officer. Another poster contained a photo of the utility that Shire Ali set alight during his fatal jihadi mission. ‘Australia, don’t think you are away from our attacks,’ the text on the poster read”.</p>
<p><strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/tessa-ackerman_161118.pdf" target="_blank">OZ also reports</a></strong> that Home Affairs Minister Peter Dutton yesterday condemned the propaganda (“This demonstration shows their evil minds at work,” he said. “We will continue our efforts to counter propaganda and gather intelligence to defeat the scourge”).  Bill Shorten also did so, urging “internet providers and social media companies to remove any objectionable material which encourages terrorism.” The Opposition Leader said “We all have an obligation to ensure it is not disseminated further and doesn’t reach vulnerable young people.”</p>
<p>What this so-called propaganda seems aimed to do is not only to excuse the terrorist but also attract Muslims to radicalise. The phrase “Australia, don’t think you are away from our attacks” used above might be subject to legal action against the person responsible for making the poster. It certainly calls for a response from the body responsible for our national security – the federal government.</p>
<p>The Australian has also published a <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/australian-letters_161118.pdf" target="_blank">considerable number of letters</a></strong> expressing concern at what has happened and at the apparent influence of Islam. My letter was also published, albeit in a heavily edited form, and is set out below.</p>
<p><strong>It’s Chilling to See Would-Be Killers Laughing in Court</strong></p>
<p>Letter Published in The Australian, 16 Nov 2018 (Square bracketed bits deleted by Ed)</p>
<p>“PM Morrison should be applauded for his sensible statements on [Australia’s sixth deadly] the Islamic terrorist attack which occurred in Melbourne, as should your editorial in asserting that “Islamist terrorism must be confronted, not denied” (14/11). But with a Muslim community having [, surveys suggest,] a [not in] significant proportion who support the beliefs of Muhammad in the Koran, the question is what action might be taken to limit deadly attacks.</p>
<p>[First, the government should publish a paper providing to Australians the extent of the beliefs of Muhammad, why they are still accepted by some today, the extent of the threat to national security, and what action is being take to minimise the threat. It should include the views of leaders of our Islamic community but should also make clear that the problem is not with ‘extremists’ as such but with interpreters of the religion itself who believe in the killing of infidels including fellow Muslims.]</p>
<p>The government should in cooperation with the states enhance our deficient police and intelligent analysts and take steps to access the encrypted exchanges now hidden from detection. This should include the deportation of those attempting or advocating extremist action and should require mosques and prayer centres to provide special police forces with access to what is said at meetings. [As is happening now  in European countries, additional funding should not be held back].</p>
<p>And Australia should seek agreement with other Judaeo-Christian countries to pursue such action on an international basis”.</p>
<p><em>The developments outlined above, and the widespread increased concern, call for a statement by the Federal Government on what additional protective measures it is considering and that it plans to publish an educative information paper about Islam . </em></p>
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		<title>More on Islamic Killing; Further Downturn in Newspoll</title>
		<link>http://www.ipe.net.au/2018/11/more-on-islamic-killing-further-downturn-in-newspoll/</link>
		<comments>http://www.ipe.net.au/2018/11/more-on-islamic-killing-further-downturn-in-newspoll/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Nov 2018 23:58:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Des Moore]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Election Cycle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Religion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Terrorism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[VIC State Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bill Muehelenberg]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bourke Street]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chip Le Grand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Daniel Andrews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[David Hurley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ISIS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Malcolm Turnbull]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Schliebs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mohammed Omran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Muslim]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Newspoll]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Dutton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rachel Baxendale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Richard Ferguson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Samantha Hutchinson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scott Morrison]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Australian]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ipe.net.au/?p=2644</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Last Sunday’s Commentary on the killing by a Somalian (Shire Ali) in Bourke St gave the gist of  PM Morrison’s reaction that   “I am the first to protect religious freedom in this country, but it also means I must be the first to call out religious extremism,” he said. “Religious extremism takes many forms around the world, and no religion is immune from it … But here in Australia, we would be kidding ourselves if we did not call out the fact that the greatest threat of religious extremism … is the radical and dangerous ideology of extremist Islam.”]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Morrison Confirms Serious Problems with Islamiscists</strong></p>
<p>Last Sunday’s Commentary on the killing by a Somalian (Shire Ali) in Bourke St gave the gist of  PM Morrison’s reaction that   “I am the first to protect religious freedom in this country, but it also means I must be the first to call out religious extremism,” he said. “Religious extremism takes many forms around the world, and no religion is immune from it … But here in Australia, we would be kidding ourselves if we did not call out the fact that the greatest threat of religious extremism … is the radical and dangerous ideology of extremist Islam.”</p>
<p>Responding yesterday to queries, Morrison said that the terrorist’s past substance abuse and alleged mental health issues are an “excuse” and that he would continue to call out extremist Islam and that this is “the elephant in the room”. He pointed out that Shire Ali’s reported marital struggles and substance abuse did not deter from the fact he was radicalised.  “I think that’s an excuse. This bloke, radicalised in Australia with extreme Islam, took a knife and cut down a fellow Australian on Bourke Street,” he told the Ten Network’s Studio 10 this morning. “I’m not going to make excuses &#8230; he was a terrorist. He was a radicalised extremist terrorist.”</p>
<p>He added that he had consulted with a Muslim community leader before he made the initial comments, and that commentators accusing him of “dog whistling” are making excuses for terror. “That is the same lame, old, tired excuse for not dealing with this problem as has always been served up,” he said. “I don’t believe that’s where the majority of decent, hard-working, respectable Australian Muslims are at. They want their communities to be safer” (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/schliebs-ferguson_141118.pdf" target="_blank">Terrorist Had Communicated With IS</a></strong><strong>).</strong></p>
<p>Today’s Australian reports that Mr Morrison has urged imams to identify “infiltrators’’ in their mosques and to be more alert for and proactive towards any signs of radicalisation. It describes the Prime Minister’s “forceful rhetoric” as aimed squarely at imams he believed were “looking the other way’’ when confronted with extremism in their mosques. Home Affairs Minister Peter Dutton has also called for Muslim community members to help bring potentially dangerous radicals to the attention of police. Morrison is reported as claiming that  the “active co-­operation” of Islamic leaders was required to prevent terrorism. “When you’ve got 400 people on an investigation program and 230 people with cancelled passports, there’s no way you can have active eyes on everyone,” Mr ­Morrison said. “No government can achieve that. This is about protecting their own communities, and their own religious communities’ integrity, because at some point a young person is always going to be ­vulnerable. “That’s when these infiltrators go to work. They can sniff it out and in they go. We’ve seen it time and again.”</p>
<p>By contrast, today’s Australian also reports Sheik Omran, the spiritual leader of the Islamic youth centre where Shire Ali ­attended prayer sessions, as ­accusing Morrison of “making the Muslim community a scapegoat to distract from the failure of police and intelligence services to prevent Friday’s attack”. Mohammed Omran, the emir of the Hume Islamic Youth Centre close to Shire Ali’s Meadow Heights home, dismissed the “bloody Prime Minister’s’’ call for imams to do more to stop Islamic extremists, saying the greatest power he had was to dial triple-0 when confronted with a threat. According to The Australian, “the HIYC, a sprawling mosque, cafe, gym and bookstore in the Melbourne suburb of ­Coolaroo, has seen a procession of jihadists and would-be terrorists through its doors, including ­domestic terror plotters and suicide bombers who killed themselves in Iraq” (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/chip-legrand_141118.pdf" target="_blank">Muslim Leader’s Attack on Morrison</a></strong><strong>).</strong></p>
<p>Another report today confirms that Shire Ali had had contacts with Yacqub Khayre ( the man responsible for the Brighton siege last year and the murder of a receptionist) and his friends, as well as being an online friend of infamous Australian terrorist Khaled Sharrouf in 2014 (the man who posted a photo of his young son holding a severed head online in 2014) (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/david-hurley_141118.pdf" target="_blank">Ali Had Friends with Other Radicalists</a></strong>).</p>
<p>Judging by the foregoing activity of Shire Ali and his Islamic “friends” (of which more will doubtless be revealed), the anti-terrorist policies and the accommodative attitude adopted toward the Islamic community by former PM Turnbull and Victorian Premier Andrews have, even with the large increase in police and intelligent analysts, clearly been deficient. According to comments by Victorian Opposition Leader Guy,  while Premier Andrews ­ had four years to back the federal government on deportation “the government hasn’t recommended a single person for deportation in four years. Now he says this is on the agenda.” Yesterday Andrews declared the Victorian government “stands ready” to co-operate with the federal govern­ment on deportations and visas, in a break from past responses to ­federal intervention on state law and order (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/baxendale-hutchinson_141118.pdf" target="_blank">Andrews Now Supports Deportation and Visas</a></strong><strong>).</strong></p>
<p>But policies need to extend much further into restricting statements by Muslim preachers et al endorsing all of the Koran. Freedom of religion is generally accepted but, in this day and age, it should not allow the preaching of death to believers  in other religions.An experienced analyst of the Koran, Bill Muehelenberg, argues that “the problem is not with ‘extremists’ but with the religion itself. The religion commands its followers to kill the infidel. Its founder led the way here, leaving all Muslims a perfect example of what they should do”… “The simple truth is this: if a Christian kills in the name of Christ, he does so in total opposition to the life and teachings of Christ, and the entire New Testament. However, if a Muslim kills in the name of Allah, he has full justification to do so from the life and teachings of Muhammad, from the Koran, and from the hadith and sira” (see <a href="https://billmuehlenberg.com/2008/11/21/jesus-muhammad-and-violence/" target="_blank">billmuehlenberg.com/2008/11/21/jesus-muhammad-and-violence/</a>).</p>
<p>As I argued in a recent Commentary, the government should publish a paper outlining the beliefs of Muhammad in the Koran, which was put together after the death of Muhammed in 632 but for which he left no records. And other new policies are also needed.</p>
<p><strong>Further Downturn in Newspoll</strong></p>
<p>Last Monday’s Newspoll showed a further drop in the Coalition’s polling to 54/55 on a TPP basis and a drop also in Morrison’s personal satisfaction ratio. As argued in previous Commentary, I believe this reflects Morrison’s failure to indicate policies on major issues. This view is also reflected in an editorial today’s Australian, viz</p>
<blockquote><p><em>“</em><em>Mr Morrison does not need to don baseball caps and give us the thumbs up to convince us he is a suburban dad. We get it. He needs to use the authority of the top job to deliver the reforms and arguments this nation needs. As a Coalition Prime Minister there must be more he wants to achieve on tax reform or energy affordability. He must be concerned about cultural issues such as our university sector rejecting a centre for Western civilisation or a Labor opponent refusing to call out Islamist terrorism. In short, Mr Morrison will win government in his own right only if he provides the central missing ingredient of this dismal past decade of politics: leadership”  </em><em>(see <strong>OZ </strong></em><strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/australian-editorial_141118.pdf" target="_blank">Says Morrison Needs to Deliver Basic Reforms</a></strong>),viz</p></blockquote>
<p>“Mr Morrison does not need to don baseball caps and give us the thumbs up to convince us he is a suburban dad. We get it. He needs to use the authority of the top job to deliver the reforms and arguments this nation needs. As a Coalition Prime Minister there must be more he wants to achieve on tax reform or energy affordability.</p>
<p>He must be concerned about cultural issues such as our university sector rejecting a centre for Western civilisation or a Labor opponent refusing to call out Islamist terrorism. In short, Mr Morrison will win government in his own right only if he provides the central missing ingredient of this dismal past decade of politics: leadership”.</p>
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		<title>Government Policies/Advocacies</title>
		<link>http://www.ipe.net.au/2018/10/government-policiesadvocacies/</link>
		<comments>http://www.ipe.net.au/2018/10/government-policiesadvocacies/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Oct 2018 00:56:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Des Moore]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Climate Change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Defence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Terrorism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ABC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andrew Bolt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andrew Burrell]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Christopher Pyne]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[David Uren]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Donald Trump]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fairfax]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Glenda Korporaal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Greg Sheridan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IPCC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jacqueline Maley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Stone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Josh Frydenberg]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Malcolm Turnbull]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Maurice Newman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michelle Guthrie]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NEG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nicole Hasham]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rachel Baxendale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scott Morrison]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Australian]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[William Kininmonth]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Today’s media contains reports which are of serious concern in regard to the capacity of governments and political leaders to operate or propound policies which are in the interests of  communities considered as an entity rather than of particular groups. These are briefly described below and, except for two, the attachments.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Today’s media contains reports which are of serious concern in regard to the capacity of governments and political leaders to operate or propound policies which are in the interests of  communities considered as an entity rather than of particular groups. These are briefly described below and, except for two, the attachments.</p>
<p><strong>Morrison Government Policies </strong></p>
<p>I have already expressed some concern that the Morrison/Frydenberg government is portraying itself as too close to the Turnbull regime.  This seems to be reflected in  statements and policies which are now being made and/or implemented by those two. For a start, it is now reported that, instead of distinguishing his government from Turnbull’s,  Morrison has in fact offered Turnbull in New York that some of his travel costs on “government business” could be met (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/jacqueline-maley_041018.pdf" target="_blank">Turnbull’s Travel Costs Offered by Morrison</a></strong><strong>).</strong> This comes on top of his acknowledgement of having frequent contact with Turnbull in NY.</p>
<p>And, although Morrison is attacked front page in the Fairfax press on failures (sic) to implement climate change policies or indeed to take them further (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/nicole-hasham_041018.pdf" target="_blank">Fairfax Attacks Morrison for Abandoning NEG</a></strong>), Fairfax overlooks his retention of emissions reductions and increased renewables while continuing, contradiction ally, to claim that power prices will be reduced and that he has appointed a minister to do this. No indication has been given as to what attitude the government takes to the IPCC report to be released on Sunday next and which is already reported to once again be endorsing the dangerous warming theory. This despite it being the umpteenth such report which has made incorrect temperature predictions and failed to attribute to reasons other than CO2 increases which may have caused temperature increases (see attached letter published in The Australian by expert analyst William <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/william-kininmonth_041018.pdf" target="_blank">Kininmonth on CChange</a></strong><strong>).</strong></p>
<p>As to the budget, <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/david-uren_041018.pdf" target="_blank">the Australian’s David Uren notes</a></strong> that while “the Morrison government appears to have decided that budget repair is mission accomplished,</p>
<p>big spending decisions — the $4.6 billion fix for school funding and the $9bn fix for Western Australia’s GST — are unlikely to be offset by savings. There is still a drought package, a small business tax package and a federal election to come” (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/burrel-baxendale_041018.pdf" target="_blank">Morrison/Frydenberg to Ease Budget Policy?</a></strong><strong>)</strong>. Yet while both Frydenburg and Morrison have acknowledged that new spending <em>should</em> be offset by savings, they do not give any undertaking of such action. Uren rightly concludes that “there should be a greater buffer against adversity in the budget before we start spending surpluses that are yet to arrive”.</p>
<p>As to the ABC, apart from the appointment of the very pro-ABC Ferguson as acting chair (for which there has been no explanation), Morrison seems happy that the inquiry by the Departmental head will provide a satisfactory basis for possible changes. Yet controversies continue about what actually happened to instigate the sacking of Guthrie and why Ferguson could not have been requested by the Minister for Communications to make obviously-needed changes as a condition of her appointment. In the attached article (<strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/maurice-newman_041018.pdf" target="_blank">ABC Stuck with Greenism</a></strong><strong>)</strong> former Chair Maurice Newman identifies many but his reference to the failure to handle complaints (0.5% upheld !), and the rejection of an analysis by expert Meteorologist Bob Fernley-Jones, indicate the need for immediate change (and for there to be a change which would give credibility to the government).</p>
<p>As to foreign policy, the increased foreign activity by a China, now run by a Marxist who has “shuffled” leaders to centralized power in himself,  requires much greater expressions of concern by Australia. This applies to inter alia a number of Chinese activities including in the South China sea. <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/john-stone_041018.pdf" target="_blank">Defence Minister Pyne, who addressed a dinner I attended</a></strong> on Wednesday evening, said that Australia will be participating in an official group which will be sailing through the SC sea but did not say whether that group would accept any Chinese restrictions and what it would do if the Chinese acted as it did against a US ship (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/glenda-korporaal_041018.pdf" target="_blank">Chinese Threaten US Warship</a></strong><strong>). </strong></p>
<p>Morrison’s attempt to explain that Australia has good relations with both the US and China fell short of what our foreign policy requires, which would include endorsement of US policy supporting independent nations and which recognises how important to us the US is militarily. Pyne mentioned that we have increased defence spending since the cut-backs under Labor and said the aim is to lift defence spending to 3% of GDP from the 1.9% aim in 2018-19. But we are small and the planned new subs have not yet been started and will not be ready until 2030.</p>
<p>This situation requires closer support of US defence/foreign policies, including the de-nuclear policies in regard to Iran, which has now attempted a bomb plot in France where the counter-government for Iran is situated (see <strong><a href="http://www.ipe.net.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/times-editorial_041018.pdf" target="_blank">France Threatened by Iran</a></strong>).  The US describes Iran as “the world’s top sponsor of terrorism” and it has conducted terrorist activity in countries distant from itself. Australia should recognise and support the US policy on Iran.</p>
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